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Continuous calibration of a digital twin: Comparison of particle filter and Bayesian calibration approaches
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Continuous calibration of a digital twin: Comparison of particle filter and Bayesian calibration approaches

Rebecca Ward, Ruchi Choudhary, Alastair Gregory, Melanie Jans-Singh and Mark Girolami
Data-Centric Engineering (Online), Vol.2(3), 15
01/01/2021

Abstract

Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications Engineering, Multidisciplinary Science & Technology Computer Science Engineering Technology
Assimilation of continuously streamed monitored data is an essential component of a digital twin; the assimilated data are used to ensure the digital twin represents the monitored system as accurately as possible. One way this is achieved is by calibration of simulation models, whether data-derived or physics-based, or a combination of both. Traditional manual calibration is not possible in this context; hence, new methods are required for continuous calibration. In this paper, a particle filter methodology for continuous calibration of the physics-based model element of a digital twin is presented and applied to an example of an underground farm. The methodology is applied to a synthetic problem with known calibration parameter values prior to being used in conjunction with monitored data. The proposed methodology is compared against static and sequential Bayesian calibration approaches and compares favourably in terms of determination of the distribution of parameter values and analysis run times, both essential requirements. The methodology is shown to be potentially useful as a means to ensure continuing model fidelity.
url
https://doi.org/10.1017/dce.2021.12View
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